Forecasts vs Predictions
Understanding the difference between individual opinions and market-generated expectations.
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Understanding the difference between individual opinions and market-generated expectations.
The terms forecast and prediction are often used interchangeably, but they are not the same thing.
A prediction is usually an individual's view about what will happen in the future, whereas a forecast is an estimate of future outcomes based on available information.
Glimpse focuses on forecasts.
Rather than asking a single person what they think will happen, Glimpse aggregates information from many market participants and converts it into a live probability forecast.
As participants react to news, data and changing market conditions, the forecast updates automatically.
This creates a dynamic view of market expectations rather than a static opinion.
The goal is not to determine who is right but to better understand what outcomes the market currently considers most likely.
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